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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

34%YES
67%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

25% / 28%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

28%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-15.2pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?

March

Full event →
above $1,800 on March 24?
100%
above $2,000 on March 24?
100%
between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?
100%
above $1,700 on March 25?
100%
above $1,800 on March 25?
100%
above $1,700 on March 27?
99%
above $1,900 on March 25?
99%
above $1,800 on March 27?
98%
above $1,800 on March 29?
98%
above $2,000 on March 25?
96%
above $1,900 on March 27?
94%
above $1,900 on March 29?
93%
above $2,000 on March 27?
83%
above $2,000 on March 29?
78%
above $2,100 on March 25?
59%
above $2,100 on March 27?
55%
above $2,100 on March 29?
55%
above $2,200 on March 29?
30%
above $2,200 on March 27?
25%
above $2,300 on March 29?
13%
above $2,200 on March 25?
10%
above $2,300 on March 27?
9%
above $2,400 on March 29?
5%
above $2,400 on March 27?
2%
above $2,500 on March 29?
2%
above $2,500 on March 27?
2%
above $2,600 on March 29?
1%
above $2,300 on March 25?
1%
above $2,400 on March 25?
0%
above $2,600 on March 27?
0%
above $2,500 on March 25?
0%
above $2,200 on March 24?
0%
above $2,600 on March 25?
0%
above $2,700 on March 25?
0%
above $2,700 on March 24?
0%

35 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 34%99%
Buy YES@ 34¢
Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 67¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?" at 34% YES / 66% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 34%, NO 66%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662857

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