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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 27?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 27?

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

27%YES
73%NO

Volume 24h

$22K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

27% / 30%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-56.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

78% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

42%

Mar 27, 2026

Biggest move: -40.0pp

82% → 42%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

21% YES (-3.0pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 27%99%
Buy YES@ 27¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 73¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 27?" at 27% YES / 73% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 27%, NO 73%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662879