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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 29?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 29?

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

66%YES
35%NO

Volume 24h

$31K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

65% / 66%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

66%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+10.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: +5.5pp

55% → 60%

Mar 28, 2026

Peak probability

62% YES — highest in period

Mar 28, 2026

Current

62% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 66%99%
Buy YES@ 66¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 35¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 29?" at 66% YES / 34% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 66%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 66%, NO 34%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683286