ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Spread: Clippers (-11.5)
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Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Closed March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

59%YES
42%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

99% / 100%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+36.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Biggest move: +42.0pp

52% → 94%

Mar 24, 2026

Current

94% YES (+42.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 59%99%
Buy YES@ 59¢
Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.2%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 42¢

-1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-11.5)" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Clippers (-11.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1686700