Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Clippers (-12.5)
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$22K
Liquidity
$58K
Bid / Ask
99% / 100%
Spread
0.90pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Trough probability
48% YES — lowest in period
Mar 24, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
48%
Mar 24, 2026
Biggest move: +48.0pp
48% → 96%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
96% YES (+48.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-12.5)" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $22K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.90 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Clippers (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1687489
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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