Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:22 AM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

28%YES

72%NO

Volume 24h

$21K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

26% / 28%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

34%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and…

March

Full event →

between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 30?

56%

between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?

28%

between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 30?

12%

between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 30?

between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 30?

between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 30?

between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 30?

between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 30?

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+20.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

13% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: +10.5pp

26% → 36%

Mar 30, 2026

Peak probability

36% YES — highest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Current

33% YES (-3.5pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 28%99%

Buy YES@ 28¢

-1.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 72¢

Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.8%

½ Kelly0.9%

Buy NO—+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 34%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692094

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