Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 30?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 30?

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 07:22 AM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.70pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and…

March

Full event →

between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 30?

52%

between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 30?

34%

between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 30?

10%

between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 30?

between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 30?

between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 30?

between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 30?

between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 30?

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+1.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Current

3% YES (-0.6pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 2%99%

Buy YES@ 2¢

-2.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly2.4%

½ Kelly1.2%

Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 2.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 30?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692097

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