ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?
Share on X

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES
0%NO

Volume 24h

$38K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

100% / 100%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $38K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717410

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

99% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

100% YES (-0.1pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this