ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Celtics vs. Heat
Share on X

Celtics vs. Heat

Closed April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

97%YES
3%NO

Volume 24h

$1.6M

Liquidity

$120K

Bid / Ask

98% / 99%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

97%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Heat" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Celtics vs. Heat." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1730077

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

65% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Current

63% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 2, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 97%99%
Buy YES@ 97¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly13.0%
½ Kelly6.5%
Buy NO@ 3¢

-13.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 13.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this