Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$81K
Liquidity
$9K
Bid / Ask
95% / 98%
Spread
2.90pp
Expert Signal
97%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $81K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 2.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1810388
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5: 97%, Celtics vs. Heat: 64%, Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 228.5: 53%.
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 230.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
84%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: +35.5pp
49% → 84%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
84% YES (+35.5pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-14.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this