Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
FM Estimate
15%Market Price
16%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 3 active outcome markets. June 30: 63%, April 30, 2026: 62%, April 30: 36%.
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $173K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731344