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Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 3?
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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 3?

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$24K

Liquidity

$24K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 3?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $24K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743623

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 70%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 24%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 7%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-5.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

6% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 3, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this