ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?
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Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

71%YES
30%NO

Volume 24h

$719K

Liquidity

$57K

Bid / Ask

71% / 73%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

71%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?" at 71% YES / 29% NO. In the last 24 hours, $719K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 71%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 71%, NO 29%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1767268

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 71%99%
Buy YES@ 71¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.7%
½ Kelly0.8%
Buy NO@ 30¢

-1.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this