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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11?
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Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11?

Closed April 11, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$55K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

2% / 3%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $55K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1771782

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+15.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+15.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this