ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5
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Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

33%YES
68%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$394

Bid / Ask

8% / 98%

Spread

90.00pp

Expert Signal

53%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+12.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

18% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: -19.0pp

49% → 30%

Mar 29, 2026

Peak probability

49% YES — highest in period

Mar 29, 2026

Current

30% YES (-19.0pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 33%99%
Buy YES@ 33¢
Edge

+1.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 68¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5" at 33% YES / 67% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 53%. The bid-ask spread is 90.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 33%, NO 67%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1769400