ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5
Share on X

Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5

Closed March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
50%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$4

Bid / Ask

3% / 98%

Spread

95.00pp

Expert Signal

61%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5

Full event →

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-33.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

85% YES

Mar 29, 2026

Biggest move: -13.5pp

75% → 61%

Mar 29, 2026

Current

51% YES (-10.5pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 50¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 95.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 4.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1769408