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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?

Closes April 6, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
82%FIS
+1ppvs market 81%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.8pp above current market price; market at 81% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑
+0.8pp
Live compute08:05 AM

Polymarket Price

81%YES
19%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$11K

Bid / Ask

81% / 82%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

81%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?" at 81% YES / 19% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 81%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 81%, NO 19%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792528

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 81%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 16%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 5%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+11.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

70% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Biggest move: +6.0pp

75% → 81%

Apr 6, 2026

Current

81% YES (+6.0pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 81%99%
Buy YES@ 81¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 19¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this