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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?

Closes April 6, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Low confidence · 1 signal
6%FIS
+1ppvs market 5%
underpriced

ForecastMind sees this +0.8pp above current market price; market at 5% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).

Signal breakdown

MacroBTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.2% ↑, S&P +0.3% ↑
+0.8pp
Live compute08:05 AM

Polymarket Price

5%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$6K

Bid / Ask

4% / 7%

Spread

2.90pp

Expert Signal

5%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 2.90 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792533

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 80%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 16%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 5%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-2.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

8% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Current

5% YES (+1.2pp recent)

Apr 6, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 5%99%
Buy YES@ 5¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 95¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this