Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5
Closed April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$19
Expert Signal
21%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5" at 21% YES / 79% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 21%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 21%, NO 79%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1798776
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Sam Merrill: Points O/U 12.5: 36%, Sam Merrill: Assists O/U 2.5: 21%, Sam Merrill: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 3%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~40%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +34.8pp
1% → 35%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
35% YES (+34.8pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-1.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this