US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
FM Estimate
25%Market Price
28%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 3 active outcome markets. December 31: 40%, May 31: 23%, April 30: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~34%.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.6M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808970