US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
FM Estimate
2%Market Price
4%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 3 active outcome markets. December 31: 39%, May 31: 25%, April 30: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~33%.
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $78K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 4%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50pp. The market closes on April 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-17). "US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2006982