ForecastMind
Markets/Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5
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Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$31K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

1% / 2%

Spread

0.50pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+60.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813668

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~94%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+26.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +11.9pp

0% → 12%

Apr 1, 2026

Current

27% YES (+4.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-14.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly14.9%
½ Kelly7.4%
Buy NO+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 14.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this