ForecastMind
Markets/Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5
Share on X

Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$35K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

0% / 2%

Spread

1.80pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+81.8pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $35K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813673

Outcome Markets4 markets

This event has 4 active outcome markets. Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5: 2%, Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5: 1%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~95%.

Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5
2%
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5
2%
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 28.5
1%

Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5

1%

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

1% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +13.4pp

0% → 14%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

14% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

1% YES (-0.5pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢
Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%
½ Kelly4.5%
Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this