Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$34K
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
16% / 18%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
16%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?" at 16% YES / 84% NO. In the last 24 hours, $34K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 16%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 16%, NO 84%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813912
This event has 7 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 1?: 16%, Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1?: 6%, Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1?: 2%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~75%.
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +24.0pp
11% → 35%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
35% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
13% YES (-5.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+3.2%
EV per $ wagered
-0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this