Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 1?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$14K
Bid / Ask
0% / 0%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 1?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1813915
This event has 27 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?: 100%, price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1?: 100%.
Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 1?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (-0.3pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-9.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this