Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$223K
Liquidity
$1.6M
Bid / Ask
25% / 26%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
26%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?" at 26% YES / 74% NO. In the last 24 hours, $223K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 26%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 26%, NO 74%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1818719
This event has 3 active outcome markets. Club Atlético de Madrid: 26%, Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5): 13%, Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5): 5%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~57%.
Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
34% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Trough probability
25% YES — lowest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: -14.5pp
40% → 26%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
40% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
26% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 14, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this