Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$82K
Bid / Ask
2% / 2%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823793
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 73%, Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 40%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 19%.
Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
21% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
2% YES — lowest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -18.4pp
21% → 2%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
2% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+11.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this