Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$81K
Bid / Ask
72% / 74%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
73%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823798
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?: 73%, Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 40%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 19%.
Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: +16.5pp
53% → 70%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
72% YES — highest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Current
71% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this