Will Solana dip to $60 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH -0.1% ↓, S&P -0.1% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$26K
Bid / Ask
6% / 7%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana dip to $60 in April?" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Solana dip to $60 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823891
This event has 29 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 38%, Solana dip to $70 in April?: 26%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 14%.
Solana dip to $60 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
7% YES — lowest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
13%
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: -22.0pp
52% → 30%
Apr 2, 2026
Current
8% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+7.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this