Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5
Closed April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$37K
Liquidity
$10K
Bid / Ask
24% / 62%
Spread
38.00pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 38.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1825096
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline: 92%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 86%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5: 46%.
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
51% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
44% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
44%
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: -11.5pp
55% → 44%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
53% YES (+9.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this