Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5
Closed April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$130K
Liquidity
$151K
Bid / Ask
25% / 57%
Spread
32.00pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $130K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 32.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831754
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5: 100%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: 100%, Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5: 100%.
Cavaliers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Trough probability
39% YES — lowest in period
Apr 3, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Apr 2, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
39%
Apr 3, 2026
Biggest move: -14.5pp
53% → 39%
Apr 3, 2026
Current
41% YES (+2.0pp recent)
Apr 3, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this