ForecastMind
Markets/Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins

Closes April 16, 2026

Polymarket Price

0%YES
100%NO

Volume 24h

$856K

Liquidity

$550K

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $856K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844632

Outcome Markets12 markets

This event has 12 active outcome markets. Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5: 100%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5: 100%, Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5): 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-46.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

47% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -29.0pp

33% → 4%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

0% YES (-3.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this