Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins
Closes April 16, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$382
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 16, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844633
This event has 12 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: C: 100%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5: 100%, Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5: 100%.
there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
92% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Biggest move: +7.5pp
92% → 100%
Apr 9, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 9, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this