ForecastMind
Markets/Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
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Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres

Closes April 17, 2026

Polymarket Price

43%YES
57%NO

Volume 24h

$638K

Liquidity

$144K

Bid / Ask

25% / 26%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

43%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $638K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 17, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1844662

Outcome Markets9 markets

This event has 9 active outcome markets. Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.: 100%, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.: 100%, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+43.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

34% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

77%

Apr 10, 2026

Biggest move: +46.5pp

31% → 77%

Apr 10, 2026

Current

77% YES (+46.5pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 43%99%
Buy YES@ 43¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 57¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this