Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
Closed April 10, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$476K
Liquidity
$2K
Bid / Ask
8% / 15%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
13%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)" at 13% YES / 87% NO. In the last 24 hours, $476K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 13%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 10, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 13%, NO 87%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1930135
This event has 9 active outcome markets. Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.: 100%, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.: 100%, Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: 84%.
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: -17.0pp
36% → 19%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
14% YES (-4.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this