Heat vs. Raptors
Closes April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$554K
Liquidity
$484K
Bid / Ask
39% / 40%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
40%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Raptors" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $554K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Heat vs. Raptors." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1845072
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5: 52%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5: 49%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5: 47%.
Heat vs. Raptors
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
41% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Current
40% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 9, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this