Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5
Closed April 9, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$190K
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1923837
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5: 51%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5: 49%, Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5: 46%.
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Apr 9, 2026
Trough probability
43% YES — lowest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
50%
Apr 9, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
43%
Apr 10, 2026
Biggest move: +43.5pp
43% → 87%
Apr 10, 2026
Current
100% YES (+13.5pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this