Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
FM Estimate
21%Market Price
23%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 16 active outcome markets. the Labour Party: 88%, the Liberal Democrats: 82%, the Labour Party: 72%.
Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $127 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on May 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-18). "Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1849829