Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?
Closes April 11, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.6pp below current market price; market at 96% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH -0.2% ↓, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$11K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
95% / 96%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
96%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?" at 96% YES / 4% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 96%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 11, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 11?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 96%, NO 4%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1862480
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 96%, Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 43%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 2%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
92% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
96% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
-11.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this