Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
Closes May 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$88K
Bid / Ask
86% / 89%
Spread
2.90pp
Expert Signal
89%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?" at 88% YES / 12% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 89%. The bid-ask spread is 2.90 percentage points. The market closes on May 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-02). "Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 88%, NO 12%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1823799
This event has 10 active outcome markets. Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?: 88%, Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?: 51%, Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?: 23%.
Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
67% YES
Apr 2, 2026
Biggest move: +22.5pp
67% → 89%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
94% YES — highest in period
Apr 2, 2026
Current
88% YES (-0.7pp recent)
Apr 2, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this