Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 12?
Closed April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +3.1pp above current market price; market at 50% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.8% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.5% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$27K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 12?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $27K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1879427
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 59%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 40%, price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,40: 1%.
price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this