Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
Closes April 6, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$29K
Liquidity
$45K
Bid / Ask
46% / 47%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $29K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1885773
This event has 8 active outcome markets. Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 221.5: 55%, Pistons vs. Magic: 54%, Pistons vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline: 54%.
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Trough probability
44% YES — lowest in period
Apr 6, 2026
Current
47% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this