Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?
Closes April 13, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +4.8pp above current market price; market at 11% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.5% ↑, ETH +2.4% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$32K
Bid / Ask
10% / 12%
Spread
2.20pp
Expert Signal
11%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?" at 11% YES / 89% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 11%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 13, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 11%, NO 89%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1886062
This event has 14 active outcome markets. Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?: 61%, Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?: 27%, Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?: 11%.
Ethereum reach $2,400 April 6-12?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 10, 2026
Peak probability
10% YES — highest in period
Apr 10, 2026
Current
7% YES (-3.7pp recent)
Apr 10, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this