ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5
Share on X

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

89%YES
11%NO

Volume 24h

$23K

Liquidity

$8K

Bid / Ask

86% / 92%

Spread

6.00pp

Expert Signal

89%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5" at 89% YES / 11% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 89%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 89%, NO 11%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890459

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+24.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

65%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +26.5pp

39% → 65%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

65% YES (+26.5pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 89%99%
Buy YES@ 89¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 11¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this