ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5
Share on X

Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5

Closed April 7, 2026

Polymarket Price

90%YES
11%NO

Volume 24h

$37K

Liquidity

$24K

Bid / Ask

92% / 93%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

90%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5" at 90% YES / 10% NO. In the last 24 hours, $37K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 90%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 90%, NO 10%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1891574

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+34.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

44% YES

Apr 6, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

78%

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +35.0pp

43% → 78%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

78% YES (+35.0pp recent)

Apr 7, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 90%99%
Buy YES@ 90¢
Edge

+0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly4.8%
½ Kelly2.4%
Buy NO@ 10¢

-4.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 4.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this