Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Closes April 19, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$893K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $893K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 19, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1890663
This event has 9 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: P: 100%, Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5): 66%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5: 35%.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
46% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
86%
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: -49.0pp
84% → 35%
Apr 12, 2026
Peak probability
86% YES — highest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this