Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3K
Liquidity
$56
Bid / Ask
13% / 16%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
7%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 7%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1953658
This event has 9 active outcome markets. there be a run scored in the first inning?: P: 100%, Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: 84%, Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5): 66%.
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
38% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Biggest move: -27.5pp
38% → 11%
Apr 12, 2026
Current
7% YES (-4.0pp recent)
Apr 12, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this