Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)
Closed April 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$8K
Bid / Ask
38% / 44%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)" at 43% YES / 57% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 43%, NO 57%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1894153
This event has 6 active outcome markets. 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5): 53%, Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5): 51%, 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5): 47%.
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
21%
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: -33.5pp
55% → 21%
Apr 7, 2026
Current
21% YES (-33.5pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this