Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 7?
Closes April 8, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$40K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 7?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $40K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1901439
This event has 25 active outcome markets. Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?: 55%, Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12?: 27%, Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?: 27%.
Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on April 7?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Current
1% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-20.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this