ForecastMind
Markets/Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5
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Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5

Closes April 9, 2026

ForecastMind Intelligence Score
Medium confidence · 2 signals
47%FIS
2ppvs market 50%
overpriced

ForecastMind sees this -2.1pp below current market price; market at 50% may be overpriced with macro signals showing VIX -5.0% ↓, S&P +0.7% ↑, DXY -0.3% ↓.

Signal breakdown

MacroVIX -5.0% ↓, S&P +0.7% ↑, DXY -0.3% ↓
-2.4pp
HistoryUSA very_negative CVL → -1.0pp avg (n=74) [recent event]
-1.0pp
Live compute07:05 PM

Polymarket Price

50%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

46% / 53%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

50%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-09). "Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1924054

Outcome Markets3 markets

This event has 3 active outcome markets. Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5: 57%, Norman Powell: Points O/U 17.5: 50%, Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5: 34%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Apr 9, 2026

Biggest move: -8.0pp

45% → 37%

Apr 9, 2026

Current

43% YES (+5.5pp recent)

Apr 9, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 50%99%
Buy YES@ 50¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this